Toll on NY keeps rising
The financial downfall on Wall Street could cost New York state up to $3.5 billion in tax revenues by March 2010 and as many as 40,000 jobs, according to an estimate by the comptroller’s office.
“The preliminary September numbers show the fallout from the Wall Street crisis is starting to hit the state hard,” said the report from Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli after Congress failed to approve a bailout package worth $700 billion.
“The volatility in the markets is creating difficulty in predicting budget revenues, and (Monday’s) vote in Washington will only increase that volatility. But this is a warning bell. The state has to watch its spending. Every dime counts in a crisis.”
Gov. David Paterson said in reaction to the comptroller’s report that he will meet with state legislative leaders later this week. According to Paterson, 20 percent of New York state revenues are derived from Wall Street.
Total job loss is difficult to project at this time, but each job lost on Wall Street could result in as many as three jobs lost elsewhere, driving the losses considerably higher, with most of the job loss concentrated in New York City, the comptroller said. DiNapoli said this year’s reduction in Wall Street bonuses could rival the 50 percent decline incurred after the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. A 50 percent decrease would reduce bonuses to the 2003 level of approximately $16 billion.
Preliminary tax collections for September indicate that personal income tax remained relatively flat, while sales, business and other taxes showed a decline of approximately $154 million compared to the same month of 2007. Business taxes have been below state estimates all year, even though the estimates have been lowered twice already. On Sept. 18, DiNapoli reported that business taxes were nearly $167 million lower than expected through August and down $366 million from last year.
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